Lakers vs. Spurs odds, line: 2020 NBA picks, Feb. 4

February 4, 2020 Carlo Antonio Chan

The San Antonio Spurs finish off a back-to-back road swing through Los Angeles on Tuesday when they take on LeBron James and the host Lakers at Staples Center. The Spurs (22-26), who are 10th in the Western Conference standings and fourth in the Southwest Division, are 8-15 on the road, while the Lakers (37-11), who lead the Western Conference, have the second-best record in the league behind the Milwaukee Bucks (42-7).

Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Los Angeles has dominated Western Conference foes, going 24-5 against them. Los Angeles is a 12-point favorite in the latest Spurs vs. Lakers odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 229. Before making any Lakers vs. Spurs picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated NBA spread and money line picks. It’s already returned over $3,000 in profit on all top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 16 on a blistering 34-18 run on all top-rated NBA spread picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Spurs. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Spurs vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Spurs spread: Lakers -12
  • Lakers vs. Spurs over-under: 229 points
  • Lakers vs. Spurs money line: Spurs +600, Lakers -897
  • SAS: Eighth in the league in points per game at 113.6
  • LAL: First in the NBA in field-goal percentage at 48.4

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have already won the season series, taking two games at San Antonio in November, including a 114-104 triumph on Nov. 25 in their last meeting. Los Angeles is on pace to have its best season since going 65-17 in 2008-09. The Lakers have been on a roll, winning 13 of their past 17 games. They snapped a two-game skid with a 129-113 win at Sacramento on Saturday.

Offensively, Los Angeles is led by Anthony Davis, who is averaging 26.6 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.3 assists. Davis is averaging 29.7 points over the past three games, including a 37-point performance against the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. In 26 career games against San Antonio, Davis is averaging 20.9 points and 11.1 rebounds.

Why the Spurs can cover

Even so, Los Angeles isn’t a lock to cover the Lakers vs. Spurs spread. That’s because San Antonio leads the all-time series 89-84. The Spurs have embarked on their 18th annual rodeo road trip and will log 6,751 travel miles as they play eight games over 23 days before returning home. Instead of folding, the Spurs have embraced it and have compiled a 97-50 (.660) rodeo road trip record with a point differential for all years at plus-463.

DeMar DeRozan continues to lead the Spurs’ offense at 23.1 points per game. He surpassed 16,000 career points when he scored a season-high 38 on Jan. 29. Only six players have reached that plateau since DeRozan was drafted in 2009. He also went over 1,000 points for the season in that game as he posted his highest scoring output in a Spurs uniform.

How to make Lakers vs. Spurs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. It says Davis will score 1.5 points fewer than his average, while the Spurs’ LaMarcus Aldridge will score nearly two points less than his. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

source : cbssports